HUFFPOLLSTER: Christie Trails Clinton By 23 Factors In New Jersey
Hillary Clinton enjoys an enormous lead over Chris Christie in his dwelling state. Individuals are sad with how Obama is handling ISIS. And it’s all throughout the margin of error for Republicans within the early primary states. That is HuffPollster for Tuesday, February 17, 2015.
CHRISTIE TRAILS CLINTON IN NEW JERSEY – Hillary Clinton leads Gov. Chris Christie among New Jersey voters by 23 points, in response to a Rutgers-Eagleton poll released Tuesday. Fifty-eight % of respondents say they would vote for Clinton, while 35 p.c would vote for Christie. Clinton holds comparable leads over former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker . Eighty p.c of latest Jersey voters say that the country is prepared for a female president, and a majority feel Clinton, particularly, has the right experience, demeanor and “look” to make a good president. [Rutgers]
The results mark a shift away from Christie since last summer time, when Clinton held a smaller, 11-point lead over Christie in Rutgers-Eagleton’s polling. Again then, independents have been split about evenly between Christie and Clinton; in the latest survey, they went for Clinton by a 23-point margin. Republicans remained largely in Christie’s camp.
Different New Jersey pollsters have discovered an analogous trend. A Monmouth poll released in early February found Clinton consider to be higher presidential materials by a 26-point margin, with Clinton attracting the majority of independents and a significant fraction of Republicans.
People DISAPPROVE OF OBAMA’S Dealing with OF ISIS – Alexandra Jaffe: “Individuals are more and more unhappy with President Barack Obama’s handling of ISIS, and a growing share of the nation believes that fight is going badly, in response to a new CNN/ORC survey launched Monday. The CNN/ORC poll discovered 57% of Americans disapprove of how Obama is dealing with the threat posed by ISIS, a big decline in assist for the President over the past few months. In late September, that number was forty nine%. Fifty-seven p.c disapprove of his handling of foreign affairs more broadly, and fifty four% disapprove of how the President is handling terrorism. One other 60% rate Obama negatively on his handling of electronic national security. The declining approval rankings for Obama on nationwide security come as a weekend of international turmoil additional underscores the growing threats abroad.” [CNN]
NBC/MARIST POLLS IA/NH/SC – Mark Murray: “Less than a yr before the primary presidential contests start, a trio of new NBC Information/Marist polls present that the Republican race is vast open within the early nominating states of Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina. The truth is, seven totally different doable Republican candidates get double-digit help in a minimum of one of the states. However only two candidates — former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker — are in double digits in all three states. By comparison, the Democratic nomination contest is far much less competitive in these three states. In Iowa, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton leads Vice President Joe Biden by more than 50 factors, 68 percent to 12 %. She’s ahead of Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt.by the identical margin in New Hampshire, sixty nine % to thirteen p.c. And in South Carolina, Clinton has a 45-point advantage over Biden, sixty five percent to 20 p.c. The NBC/Marist polls didn’t embody Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass.in these trial heats as a result of she continues to insist — in each the present and future tenses — that she won’t be operating for president in 2016.” [NBC, full results through Marist]
Reactions to early 2016 horse race polls:
-Frank Luntz : “Iowa 2016: Mike Huckabee (17%) currently holds a slim lead over Scott Walker (16%) and Chris Christie (15%).” [@FrankLuntz]
-Oliver Willis: “Dont say someone ‘leads’ in a poll the place they have 18% help and the next guy has 17 or sixteen%. come on.” [@owillis]
-Logan Dobson : “The key 2016 poll end result that’s lacking is that 79% of 2016 poll respondents only suppose concerning the 2016 elections when requested by pollsters.” [@LoganDobson]
-Dan Balz: “The fact is that that is an inside sport, carried on by a small quantity of individuals — candidates looking for to impress donors or commentators; a cadre of activists who can’t get sufficient of politics at any time of the cycle; journalists hungry to get the marketing campaign transferring ever faster. Folks seize on early polls at the same time they provide a caveat that early polls don’t mean much. So now Scott Walker leads in Iowa He does, however with just 16 p.c assist — and only one level forward of Rand Paul and simply three points forward of former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee. It’s all margin of error.” [WashPost]
POLITICO POLLS IA/NH INSIDERS – James Hohmann: “Most Iowa insiders believe Scott Walker would win their state’s Republican caucuses if they had been held this week. However they’re not this week, and nearly none of essentially the most influential thought leaders in the Hawkeye State believe that the Wisconsin governor will maintain his recent bounce in polls. This is certainly one of several intriguing findings in the debut survey of The POLITICO Caucus. More than a hundred of probably the most plugged-in activists, operatives and elected officials in Iowa and New Hampshire have agreed to reply a weekly survey over the subsequent yr, which might be printed right here every Friday. It’s a various mix of highly effective figures from throughout the political spectrum, together with celebration chairmen, members of Congress, radio hosts and rising stars who command loyal followings….The consensus throughout this group is that Hillary Clinton is almost guaranteed to grow to be the Democratic nominee. Solely four of 70 who answered guessed that a Democrat other than Clinton will ultimately win their state.” [Politico]
Barely Higher Rankings For brand spanking new CONGRESS – Andrew Dugan: “One in five People say they approve of the way Congress is handling its job, slightly larger than the sixteen% approval in the final studying for the 113th Congress, from December. Seventy-five percent of Individuals disapprove of Congress…A major reason why approval of Congress will increase after a change in social gathering control is that approval ratings amongst supporters of the brand new majority party surge. At the moment, 27% of self-identified Republicans say they approve of the way Congress is dealing with its job, up notably from the share who stated so in January (17%) or December (12%). Democrats’ approval ranking of Congress is 17% in February and independents’ is 18%, mainly unchanged in contrast with January and December.”
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TUESDAY’S ‘OUTLIERS’ – Hyperlinks to the best of reports on the intersection of polling, politics and political knowledge:
-Americans increasingly see Russia as the top U.S. enemy. [Gallup]
-Fifty-eight p.c of Individuals say that motion against ISIS is batman arkham knight t shirt quantum going poorly. [CNN]
-Individuals really feel better about their private finances than they did a 12 months ago. [Gallup]
-Sixty-eight % of Cuban Americans favor expanded commerce with Cuba. [Sun Sentinel]
-Nate Cohn digs deeper in the thriller of lower voter registration for older black voters. [NYT]
-For President’s Day, Reality Tank explores approval rankings from Eisenhower to Obama. [Pew]
-In New Hampshire, President Obama’s job approval score remains a low forty two percent. [UNH]
-In Maryland, opposition to casinos grows. [WashPost]
-Almost forty % of Israelis are pondering of emigrating. [Haaretz]
-A touchscreen survey of canines (yes, canines) exhibits they’ll recognize a smiling human face. [National Geographic through @JHenning]
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